BlackBerry's remarkable Q1: Surging shares on strong earnings and raised revenue forecast

The BlackBerry reported better-than-expected first-quarter results and raised its annual revenue forecast, driven by robust demand amidst escalating online crimes.

BlackBerry has demonstrated a significant resurgence, driven by strong performance in its QNX division and a strategic focus on the booming cybersecurity market. The company's recent first-quarter fiscal year 2026 results highlight a notable return to GAAP profitability and an optimistic outlook for the coming year.

QNX Automotive Software Continues Growth Trajectory

BlackBerry's QNX division is proving to be a crucial growth engine. Its safety-critical embedded software is now integrated into over 255 million vehicles globally, a substantial increase of 20 million year-over-year and 80 million since 2020. In Q1 FY2026, QNX generated $57.5 million in revenue, fueled by impressive year-over-year growth in royalty income (up 92%) and development seat licenses (up 300%). Despite anticipated sequential revenue fluctuations due to automotive sector volatility, QNX's royalty backlog has grown to approximately $865 million. This indicates robust long-term health, as the business is adding future royalty revenue faster than it is being recognized.

QNX's market leadership stems from its critical embedded software, which powers essential systems in vehicles from major manufacturers, including BMW, Bosch, Ford, Honda, Mercedes-Benz, and Toyota. The division is also strategically expanding beyond automotive into industrial automation and medical devices, with 43% of its SDP8.0 pipeline now originating from non-automotive markets. This diversification aims to reduce reliance on cyclical automotive demand while positioning BlackBerry to capitalize on the growing "software-defined vehicles" trend, where QNX is projected to maintain the largest market share in automotive operating systems through 2030.

Soaring Demand in the Cybersecurity Landscape

The cybersecurity market is experiencing explosive growth, expanding from $223.7 billion in 2023 to an estimated $248.65 billion in 2024, at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 11.2%. This upward trend is expected to continue, with projections reaching $393.72 billion by 2028 and potentially $878.48 billion by 2034, at a 12.6% CAGR. This surge is primarily driven by the escalating frequency and sophistication of cyber threats, evidenced by a 75% increase in cloud environment intrusions and malware-free attacks comprising 75% of detected identity attacks in 2023.

The industry also faces a significant talent gap, with demand for cybersecurity professionals outpacing supply. While the workforce needs to grow at 12.6% annually to address current threats, it only grew by 8% in 2023. This shortage is accelerating innovation in AI-focused cybersecurity solutions, which saw funding more than double from $181.5 million in 2023 to $369.9 million in 2024—a remarkable 96% year-over-year growth. Notably, AI Governance emerged as a distinct category in 2024, securing $138.3 million as organizations prioritize frameworks for responsible AI deployment in security operations.

Return to GAAP Profitability and Positive Outlook

BlackBerry achieved a significant financial milestone in Q1 FY2026, reporting a GAAP net income of $1.9 million, marking its first return to profitability since Q4 FY2022. This represents a remarkable $43 million year-over-year improvement, largely attributed to the company's aggressive cost reduction initiatives. This financial turnaround occurred despite a slight 1.4% year-over-year revenue decrease to $121.7 million, though this figure still surpassed guidance expectations.

The company's solid financial foundation includes $381.9 million in cash and investments. Demonstrating confidence in its future, BlackBerry initiated a $100 million share repurchase program, with $10 million already executed in Q1. Management has also elevated the full-year revenue forecast to $508-$538 million, with particular optimism in the cybersecurity domain, where the secure communications segment projection was raised to $234-$244 million from an earlier $230-$240 million. This positive outlook is further reinforced by BlackBerry's expanding gross margin of 74% and its expectation of $0.08-$0.10 non-GAAP basic EPS for FY2026.